Non League Premier - Northern badgeNon League Premier - Northern · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Guiseley AFC badgeGuiseley AFCvsLancaster City badgeLancaster City

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Guiseley AFC badge

Guiseley AFC

Attack70
Defence64
Form72
Lancaster City badge

Lancaster City

Attack48
Defence32
Form28

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model75.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Guiseley AFC (DNB)

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model66.7%
The market64.1%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
1.56

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.89

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market57.8%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Guiseley AFC Win

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market52.4%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
9.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

10.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.