Gwangju FCvs
Jeju United FC
1 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 83.4%
- Market said
- 59.7%
- Edge
- +23.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 23.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Gwangju FC
Jeju United FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +23.7
- Odds
- 1.62
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -10.3
- Odds
- 1.20
Draw No Bet
Jeju United FC (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Jeju United FC Win
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.80
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 3.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
23.4%
0-0
25.9%
0-2
12.3%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.