Liga Leumit badgeLiga Leumit · 30 April 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Acre badgeHapoel AcrevsHapoel Afula badgeHapoel Afula

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+9.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +9.9%
Our model67.7%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 9.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Acre badge

Hapoel Acre

Attack30
Defence44
Form24
Hapoel Afula badge

Hapoel Afula

Attack42
Defence50
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model67.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Hapoel Acre (DNB)

Correct
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hapoel Acre Win

Correct
Our model42.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-7.4
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.