State Cup badgeState Cup · 26 May 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Beer Sheva badgeHapoel Beer ShevavsMaccabi Tel Aviv badgeMaccabi Tel Aviv

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.0%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+21.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

High confidenceEdge +21.2%
Our model80.0%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 21.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Beer Sheva badge

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Attack67
Defence81
Form74
Maccabi Tel Aviv badge

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Attack73
Defence56
Form64

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.2%Correct
Our model80.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.6%Correct
Our model71.5%
The market59.9%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Hapoel Beer Sheva (DNB)

Miss
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hapoel Beer Sheva Win

Miss
Our model48.1%
The market52.6%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.