Ligat Ha'al badgeLigat Ha'al · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Katamon badgeHapoel KatamonvsMaccabi Tel Aviv badgeMaccabi Tel Aviv

2 - 5
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
57.5%
Edge
+1.9 pts
Best odds
1.74

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.74

MediumEdge +1.9%
Our model59.4%
The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 1.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.9%
The market84.7%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market57.5%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.74

Draw No Bet

Maccabi Tel Aviv (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.5%
The market82.0%
Edge
-26.5
Odds
1.22

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Maccabi Tel Aviv Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market69.0%
Edge
-26.9
Odds
1.45

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

10.5%

2-1

7.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.