Liga Leumit badgeLiga Leumit · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Kfar Shalem badgeHapoel Kfar ShalemvsKiryat Yam SC badgeKiryat Yam SC

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
58.5%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +2.8%
Our model61.3%
The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Kfar Shalem badge

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
Kiryat Yam SC badge

Kiryat Yam SC

Attack65
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.8%
The market80.0%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market58.5%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.71

Draw No Bet

Kiryat Yam SC (DNB)

Edge +8.5%Miss
Our model58.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market64.5%
Edge
-12.0
Odds
1.55

Match Winner

Kiryat Yam SC Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model43.2%
The market40.2%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.49

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.55

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

10.3%

2-1

6.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.