UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 27 August 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Tel Aviv badgeHapoel Tel AvivvsAtalanta badgeAtalanta

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
56.0%
Edge
+5.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +5.3%
Our model61.3%
The market56.0%

The market underrated this by 5.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Tel Aviv badge

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack50
Defence83
Form63
Atalanta badge

Atalanta

Attack56
Defence90
Form72

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model78.9%
The market80.6%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.24

Draw No Bet

Atalanta (DNB)

Correct
Our model62.1%
The market78.1%
Edge
-16.0
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.3%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market56.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Atalanta Win

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market62.9%
Edge
-13.9
Odds
1.59

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-1

10.9%

1-2

8.2%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.