Ligat Ha'al badgeLigat Ha'al · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Tel Aviv badgeHapoel Tel AvivvsBeitar Jerusalem badgeBeitar Jerusalem

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
43.9%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.28

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.28

LowEdge +10.7%
Our model54.6%
The market43.9%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Tel Aviv badge

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack49
Defence77
Form56
Beitar Jerusalem badge

Beitar Jerusalem

Attack39
Defence48
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model73.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.40

Draw No Bet

Hapoel Tel Aviv (DNB)

Edge +8.3%Correct
Our model62.1%
The market53.8%
Edge
+8.3
Odds
1.86

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.7%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market43.9%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.4%Close
Our model54.6%
The market47.2%
Edge
+7.4
Odds
2.12

Match Winner

Hapoel Tel Aviv Win

Edge +1.2%Correct
Our model43.2%
The market42.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.1%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

10.7%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.