Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Beitar Jerusalem
3 - 0Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.6%
- Market said
- 43.9%
- Edge
- +10.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.28
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: No
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.28
The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Beitar Jerusalem
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.40
Draw No Bet
Hapoel Tel Aviv (DNB)
- Edge
- +8.3
- Odds
- 1.86
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.4
- Odds
- 2.12
Match Winner
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 2.38
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 7.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.1%
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.