UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Tel Aviv badgeHapoel Tel AvivvsLudogorets badgeLudogorets

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
42.0%
Edge
+27.4 pts
Best odds
2.38

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38

MediumEdge +27.4%
Our model69.4%
The market42.0%

The market underrated this by 27.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Tel Aviv badge

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack50
Defence75
Form67
Ludogorets badge

Ludogorets

Attack83
Defence50
Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +27.4%Close
Our model69.4%
The market42.0%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Ludogorets (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model53.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
2.10

Match Winner

Ludogorets Win

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model51.6%
The market41.7%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

7.3%

2-2

6.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.