Hapoel Tel Avivvs
Ludogorets
2 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 42.0%
- Edge
- +27.4 pts
- Best odds
- 2.38
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38
The market underrated this by 27.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +27.4
- Odds
- 2.38
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- +9.9
- Odds
- 2.40
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.74
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.