Ligat Ha'al · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Hapoel Tel AvivvsMaccabi Tel Aviv

1 - 1

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 72.3%
Market said: 61.0%
Edge: +11.3 pts
Best odds: 1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64

High confidenceEdge +11.3%

Our model72.3%

The market61.0%

The market underrated this by 11.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Attack52

Defence100

Form71

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Attack71

Defence57

Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.7%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market81.3%

Edge: +3.7
Odds: 1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.3%Close

Our model72.3%

The market61.0%

Edge: +11.3
Odds: 1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Correct

Our model67.7%

The market65.4%

Edge: +2.3
Odds: 1.53

Draw No Bet

Hapoel Tel Aviv (DNB)

Our model46.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -11.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Hapoel Tel Aviv Win

Our model41.5%

The market50.0%

Edge: -8.5
Odds: 2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%

Our model8.4%

The market7.3%

Edge: +1.1
Odds: 13.71

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

2-2

7.1%

1-1

6.8% · actual

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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