Derde Divisie · 29 August 2026AI PICK
Harkemase Boysvs
Hercules
5 - 3Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 48.5%
- Edge
- +12.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.06
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.06
The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Harkemase Boys
Hercules
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -11.3
- Odds
- 1.06
Draw No Bet
Harkemase Boys (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.0
- Odds
- 1.24
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 2.06
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 1.93
Match Winner
Harkemase Boys Win
- Edge
- -19.4
- Odds
- 1.44
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.