Hartford Athleticvs
Miami FC
2 - 1Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 49.2%
- Edge
- +4.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Hartford Athletic
Miami FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +19.7
- Odds
- 1.91
Draw No Bet
Miami FC (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.6
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Miami FC Win
- Edge
- +16.8
- Odds
- 3.80
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.10
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
9.6%
1-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.