USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 15 August 2026AI PICK

Hartford Athletic badgeHartford AthleticvsMiami FC badgeMiami FC

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
49.2%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

LowEdge +4.5%
Our model53.7%
The market49.2%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hartford Athletic badge

Hartford Athletic

Attack37
Defence79
Form48
Miami FC badge

Miami FC

Attack57
Defence39
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +19.7%Miss
Our model72.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+19.7
Odds
1.91

Draw No Bet

Miami FC (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Close
Our model53.7%
The market49.2%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.8%
The market56.4%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Miami FC Win

Edge +16.8%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market26.3%
Edge
+16.8
Odds
3.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

9.6%

1-1

13.9%

1-2

9.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.