USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 8 July 2026AI PICK

Hartford Athletic badgeHartford AthleticvsOrange County SC badgeOrange County SC

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.1%
Market said
51.5%
Edge
+1.6 pts
Best odds
1.94

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.94

LowEdge +1.6%
Our model53.1%
The market51.5%

The market underrated this by 1.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hartford Athletic badge

Hartford Athletic

Attack36
Defence70
Form51
Orange County SC badge

Orange County SC

Attack58
Defence48
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model71.6%
The market58.8%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

Orange County SC (DNB)

Edge +2.7%Void
Our model59.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.6%Correct
Our model53.1%
The market51.5%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
1.94

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market56.2%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

Orange County SC Win

Edge +12.0%Miss
Our model41.1%
The market29.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
3.44

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.