Hartlepoolvs
Barrow
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.7%
- Market said
- 54.3%
- Edge
- +1.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -4.2
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Hartlepool (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Hartlepool Win
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 2.40
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 10.79
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.