National League badgeNational League · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Hartlepool badgeHartlepoolvsWoking badgeWoking

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
49.4%
Edge
+11.8 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

MediumEdge +11.8%
Our model61.2%
The market49.4%

The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hartlepool badge

Hartlepool

Attack41
Defence39
Form55
Woking badge

Woking

Attack25
Defence46
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model81.6%
The market81.3%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.23

Draw No Bet

Hartlepool (DNB)

Edge +9.6%Correct
Our model73.7%
The market64.1%
Edge
+9.6
Odds
1.56

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.8%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market49.4%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market46.7%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
2.07

Match Winner

Hartlepool Win

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market51.5%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model13.9%
The market16.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.9% · actual

1-1

14.0%

0-0

12.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.