Havant & Wvillevs
Frome Town
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.8%
- Market said
- 42.0%
- Edge
- +28.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.38
The call, locked before kick-off
MissFrome Town Win
Match Winner · best price 2.38
The market underrated this by 28.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Havant & Wville
Frome Town
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +21.8
- Odds
- 1.50
Match Winner
Frome Town Win
- Edge
- +28.8
- Odds
- 2.38
Draw No Bet
Frome Town (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 1.85
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 2.25
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -3.0
- Odds
- 4.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
20.1%
0-1
19.4%
0-3
13.4%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.