Premiership badgePremiership · 13 May 2026AI PICK

Heart Of Midlothian badgeHeart Of MidlothianvsFalkirk badgeFalkirk

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.7%
Market said
61.0%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.64

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.64

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model65.7%
The market61.0%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Heart Of Midlothian badge

Heart Of Midlothian

Attack57
Defence74
Form69
Falkirk badge

Falkirk

Attack62
Defence39
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market61.0%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model65.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Heart Of Midlothian Win

Correct
Our model54.7%
The market70.4%
Edge
-15.7
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Heart Of Midlothian (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.2%
The market7.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.03

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.2%

1-2

8.2%

2-1

8.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.