UEFA Champions League badgeUEFA Champions League · 28 July 2026AI PICK

Heart Of Midlothian badgeHeart Of MidlothianvsSturm Graz badgeSturm Graz

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
57.6%
Edge
+11.8 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +11.8%
Our model69.4%
The market57.6%

The market underrated this by 11.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Heart Of Midlothian badge

Heart Of Midlothian

Attack40
Defence47
Form60
Sturm Graz badge

Sturm Graz

Attack100
Defence48
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +21.2%Correct
Our model75.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+21.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Sturm Graz (DNB)

Edge +13.7%Correct
Our model70.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.8%Close
Our model69.4%
The market57.6%
Edge
+11.8
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Sturm Graz Win

Edge +34.0%Correct
Our model63.4%
The market29.4%
Edge
+34.0
Odds
3.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model61.2%
The market60.1%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.60

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model8.2%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.58

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.2%

1-3

8.2%

0-2

6.3% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.