HEBCvs
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 5Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 37.0%
- Edge
- +17.0 pts
- Best odds
- 2.70
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.70
The market underrated this by 17.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
HEBC
Borussia Dortmund
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
No bookmaker price published for this market
Draw No Bet
Borussia Dortmund (DNB)
- Edge
- -36.3
- Odds
- 1.02
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +17.0
- Odds
- 2.70
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -43.3
- Odds
- 1.03
Match Winner
Borussia Dortmund Win
- Edge
- -54.8
- Odds
- 1.02
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.18
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.5%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.