DFB Pokal badgeDFB Pokal · 1 September 2026AI PICK

HEBC badgeHEBCvsBorussia Dortmund badgeBorussia Dortmund

0 - 5
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
37.0%
Edge
+17.0 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.70

LowEdge +17.0%
Our model54.0%
The market37.0%

The market underrated this by 17.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

HEBC badge

HEBC

Attack33
Defence54
Form40
Borussia Dortmund badge

Borussia Dortmund

Attack52
Defence52
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.2%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Draw No Bet

Borussia Dortmund (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.7%
The market98.0%
Edge
-36.3
Odds
1.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +17.0%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market37.0%
Edge
+17.0
Odds
2.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.8%
The market97.1%
Edge
-43.3
Odds
1.03

Match Winner

Borussia Dortmund Win

Correct
Our model43.2%
The market98.0%
Edge
-54.8
Odds
1.02

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.