National League - North badgeNational League - North · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Hednesford Town badgeHednesford TownvsHarborough Town badgeHarborough Town

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
54.9%
Edge
+3.3 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +3.3%
Our model58.2%
The market54.9%

The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hednesford Town badge

Hednesford Town

Attack57
Defence36
Form28
Harborough Town badge

Harborough Town

Attack82
Defence40
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model80.9%
The market80.6%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market54.9%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.9%
The market61.0%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.64

Draw No Bet

Hednesford Town (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Hednesford Town Win

Correct
Our model40.9%
The market42.7%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.7%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.34

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.