National League - North · 18 August 2026AI PICK
Hednesford Townvs
Southport
2 - 2Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 46.5%
- Edge
- +7.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.15
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15
The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Hednesford Town
Southport
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Southport (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.2
- Odds
- 2.15
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Southport Win
- Edge
- +0.5
- Odds
- 3.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.43
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.3%
1-1
15.0%
0-0
11.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.