Heerenveenvs
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 3Correct
Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- We called
- Over 2.5 Goals
- Model confidence
- 58.6%
- Markets called
- 5 of 5 right
- Final score
- 2 - 3
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.48
MediumEdge -7.2%
Our model58.6%
The market65.8%
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Heerenveen
Attack68
Defence51
Form63
AZ Alkmaar
Attack64
Defence92
Form77
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model86.0%
The market78.1%
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Draw No Bet
AZ Alkmaar (DNB)
Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model59.9%
The market57.8%
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.73
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Correct
Our model58.6%
The market65.8%
- Edge
- -7.2
- Odds
- 1.48
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Correct
Our model51.8%
The market65.6%
- Edge
- -13.8
- Odds
- 1.50
Match Winner
AZ Alkmaar Win
Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model51.5%
The market45.0%
- Edge
- +6.5
- Odds
- 2.22
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.