Hegelmann Litauenvs
Paide
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.0%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +0.2 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Hegelmann Litauen
Paide
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.8
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Paide (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.8
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Paide Win
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.9%
1-1
12.6% · actual
2-1
7.8%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.