League One badgeLeague One · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Heilongjiang Lava Spring badgeHeilongjiang Lava SpringvsHebei Kungfu badgeHebei Kungfu

1 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +3.8%
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Heilongjiang Lava Spring badge

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Attack62
Defence28
Form29
Hebei Kungfu badge

Hebei Kungfu

Attack30
Defence48
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model81.5%
The market77.5%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.29

Draw No Bet

Heilongjiang Lava Spring (DNB)

Edge +14.7%Miss
Our model72.8%
The market58.1%
Edge
+14.7
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Close
Our model53.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market46.5%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model12.1%
The market13.9%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.21

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

12.1%

1-1

12.1%

1-0

12.0%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.