League One · 28 June 2026AI PICK

Heilongjiang Lava SpringvsWuxi Wugou

3 - 3

Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.1%
Market said: 53.2%
Edge: +3.9 pts
Best odds: 1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.88

MediumEdge +3.9%

Our model57.1%

The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 3.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Attack60

Defence38

Form42

Wuxi Wugou

Attack66

Defence65

Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss

Our model75.3%

The market76.3%

Edge: -1.0
Odds: 1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.9%Correct

Our model57.1%

The market53.2%

Edge: +3.9
Odds: 1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.5%Correct

Our model54.3%

The market44.8%

Edge: +9.5
Odds: 2.23

Draw No Bet

Heilongjiang Lava Spring (DNB)

Our model48.4%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.7
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win

Our model34.6%

The market37.7%

Edge: -3.1
Odds: 2.65

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%

Our model8.9%

The market7.7%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.9%

1-2

8.3%

2-1

8.3%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record