Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Helmond Sport badgeHelmond SportvsDe Graafschap badgeDe Graafschap

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

De Graafschap Win

Match Winner · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model60.3%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack17
Defence41
Form22
De Graafschap badge

De Graafschap

Attack72
Defence20
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.5%
The market73.5%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

De Graafschap (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Void
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

De Graafschap Win

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +15.6%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market39.0%
Edge
+15.6
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.5%
The market60.8%
Edge
-6.3
Odds
1.60

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model14.8%
The market17.1%
Edge
-2.3
Odds
5.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

14.8%

0-1

12.4%

0-3

10.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.