Helmond Sportvs
De Graafschap
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.3%
- Market said
- 47.6%
- Edge
- +12.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissDe Graafschap Win
Match Winner · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- 0.0
- Odds
- 1.36
Draw No Bet
De Graafschap (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
De Graafschap Win
- Edge
- +12.7
- Odds
- 2.10
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +15.6
- Odds
- 2.50
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -6.3
- Odds
- 1.60
Correct Score
Score: 0-2
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-2
14.8%
0-1
12.4%
0-3
10.9%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.