Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Helmond Sport badgeHelmond SportvsVVV Venlo badgeVVV Venlo

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+19.5 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +19.5%
Our model65.0%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 19.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack23
Defence48
Form27
VVV Venlo badge

VVV Venlo

Attack40
Defence48
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.5%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
+19.5
Odds
2.20

Match Winner

VVV Venlo Win

Miss
Our model46.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model45.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
-19.7
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

VVV Venlo (DNB)

Miss
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.