Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 4 September 2026AI PICK

Helmond Sport badgeHelmond SportvsVVV Venlo badgeVVV Venlo

4 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
60.8%
Edge
+0.4 pts
Best odds
1.59

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.59

MediumEdge +0.4%
Our model61.2%
The market60.8%

The market underrated this by 0.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Helmond Sport badge

Helmond Sport

Attack21
Defence53
Form20
VVV Venlo badge

VVV Venlo

Attack60
Defence45
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +15.9%Miss
Our model85.3%
The market69.4%
Edge
+15.9
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

VVV Venlo (DNB)

Edge +28.8%Miss
Our model80.3%
The market51.5%
Edge
+28.8
Odds
1.94

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.4%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market60.8%
Edge
+0.4
Odds
1.59

Match Winner

VVV Venlo Win

Edge +19.2%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market40.5%
Edge
+19.2
Odds
2.47

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market65.7%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.47

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Miss
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

10.9%

1-2

9.8%

1-1

9.6%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.