Eerste Divisie · 21 August 2026AI PICK
Helmond Sportvs
Waalwijk
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 46.2%
- Edge
- +13.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.08
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.08
The market underrated this by 13.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Helmond Sport
Waalwijk
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- -0.8
- Odds
- 1.25
Draw No Bet
Waalwijk (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 1.53
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +13.2
- Odds
- 2.08
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Waalwijk Win
- Edge
- -7.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 5.44
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.9% · actual
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.