National League - South badgeNational League - South · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Hemel Hempstead Town badgeHemel Hempstead TownvsFarnham Town badgeFarnham Town

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
45.2%
Edge
+9.4 pts
Best odds
2.21

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.21

LowEdge +9.4%
Our model54.6%
The market45.2%

The market underrated this by 9.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hemel Hempstead Town badge

Hemel Hempstead Town

Attack32
Defence52
Form30
Farnham Town badge

Farnham Town

Attack46
Defence48
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model68.6%
The market76.9%
Edge
-8.3
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Hemel Hempstead Town (DNB)

Void
Our model58.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.4%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market45.2%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.21

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market49.5%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.02

Match Winner

Hemel Hempstead Town Win

Miss
Our model44.2%
The market47.6%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.3%

1-1

14.7% · actual

0-0

11.7%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.