National League - South badgeNational League - South · 18 August 2026AI PICK

Hemel Hempstead Town badgeHemel Hempstead TownvsMaidenhead badgeMaidenhead

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+4.3 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +4.3%
Our model58.4%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 4.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hemel Hempstead Town badge

Hemel Hempstead Town

Attack26
Defence57
Form17
Maidenhead badge

Maidenhead

Attack35
Defence38
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.60

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.3%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
+4.3
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Maidenhead (DNB)

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market52.4%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Maidenhead Win

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model33.8%
The market33.3%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model14.8%
The market17.0%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
5.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.8% · actual

0-0

18.3%

1-1

14.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.