Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Hércules badgeHérculesvsAtlético Madrid II badgeAtlético Madrid II

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.6%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.86

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.86

LowEdge +0.8%
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hércules badge

Hércules

Attack40
Defence48
Form28
Atlético Madrid II badge

Atlético Madrid II

Attack35
Defence36
Form11

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model74.2%
The market80.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.25

Draw No Bet

Hércules (DNB)

Edge +0.7%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market62.1%
Edge
+0.7
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.86

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.6%
The market60.6%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.65

Match Winner

Hércules Win

Miss
Our model43.6%
The market49.3%
Edge
-5.7
Odds
2.03

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.