Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Hércules badgeHérculesvsGimnastic badgeGimnastic

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.0%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+5.2 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +5.2%
Our model64.0%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 5.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hércules badge

Hércules

Attack51
Defence56
Form49
Gimnastic badge

Gimnastic

Attack39
Defence44
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.2%Correct
Our model64.0%
The market58.8%
Edge
+5.2
Odds
1.70

Match Winner

Hércules Win

Edge +31.1%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market31.3%
Edge
+31.1
Odds
3.20

Draw No Bet

Hércules (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.7%
The market14.5%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.7%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2% · actual

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.