Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Hércules badgeHérculesvsReal Murcia badgeReal Murcia

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
46.7%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
2.14

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.14

LowEdge +7.1%
Our model53.8%
The market46.7%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Real Murcia (DNB)

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market51.3%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market46.7%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.14

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market53.5%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.87

Match Winner

Real Murcia Win

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model42.1%
The market38.8%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
2.58

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.14

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5% · actual

1-1

11.9%

0-2

7.3%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.