Hérculesvs
Real Murcia
1 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 46.7%
- Edge
- +7.1 pts
- Best odds
- 2.14
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.14
The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.33
Draw No Bet
Real Murcia (DNB)
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.1
- Odds
- 2.14
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.87
Match Winner
Real Murcia Win
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 2.58
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.14
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.5% · actual
1-1
11.9%
0-2
7.3%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.