1. Division badge1. Division · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Hillerød badgeHillerødvsHobro badgeHobro

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
55.4%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

MediumEdge +2.8%
Our model58.2%
The market55.4%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Hillerød badge

Hillerød

Attack75
Defence38
Form22
Hobro badge

Hobro

Attack45
Defence53
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model77.0%
The market67.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.49

Draw No Bet

Hillerød (DNB)

Edge +20.7%Correct
Our model69.2%
The market48.5%
Edge
+20.7
Odds
2.06

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.8%Correct
Our model58.2%
The market55.4%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market61.2%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.56

Match Winner

Hillerød Win

Edge +13.3%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market38.3%
Edge
+13.3
Odds
2.61

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Close
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.28

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4%

1-1

8.8%

3-1

7.5% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.