HJK Helsinkivs
Ilves
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.2%
- Market said
- 64.1%
- Edge
- +5.1 pts
- Best odds
- 1.56
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.56
The market underrated this by 5.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.1
- Odds
- 1.56
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 1.60
Match Winner
HJK Helsinki Win
- Edge
- -1.2
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
HJK Helsinki (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.4%
1-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.