Veikkausliiga badgeVeikkausliiga · 4 May 2026AI PICK

HJK Helsinki badgeHJK HelsinkivsLahti badgeLahti

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

HJK Helsinki badge

HJK Helsinki

Attack69
Defence54
Form51
Lahti badge

Lahti

Attack69
Defence48
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Miss
Our model67.5%
The market65.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.53

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market55.6%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

HJK Helsinki (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

HJK Helsinki Win

Correct
Our model46.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.