HJK Helsinkivs
Turku PS
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 80.6%
- Market said
- 63.3%
- Edge
- +17.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.53
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53
The market underrated this by 17.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Strong prediction - high confidence
How the two sides compared
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.7
- Odds
- 1.14
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +17.3
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
HJK Helsinki (DNB)
- Edge
- +11.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
HJK Helsinki Win
- Edge
- -4.8
- Odds
- 1.50
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +2.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 3-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 10.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
3-1
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-0
7.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.