First NL badgeFirst NL · 22 August 2026AI PICK

HNK Cibalia badgeHNK CibaliavsDubrava Zagreb badgeDubrava Zagreb

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
53.2%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.88

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.88

LowEdge +0.6%
Our model53.8%
The market53.2%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model79.5%
The market91.7%
Edge
-12.2
Odds
1.09

Draw No Bet

HNK Cibalia (DNB)

Correct
Our model70.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market53.2%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.88

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market56.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
1.78

Match Winner

HNK Cibalia Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market69.4%
Edge
-20.0
Odds
1.44

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Close
Our model10.9%
The market12.5%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.97

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

10.9%

1-1

12.3%

1-0

10.7%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.