First NL badgeFirst NL · 23 May 2026AI PICK

HNK Cibalia badgeHNK CibaliavsOrijent 1919 badgeOrijent 1919

3 - 2
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
71.5%
Market said
58.5%
Edge
+13.0 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

HNK Cibalia Win

Match Winner · best price 1.71

High confidenceEdge +13.0%
Our model71.5%
The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 13.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

HNK Cibalia badge

HNK Cibalia

Attack85
Defence48
Form62
Orijent 1919 badge

Orijent 1919

Attack44
Defence41
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Match Winner

HNK Cibalia Win

Edge +13.0%Correct
Our model71.5%
The market58.5%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.71

Draw No Bet

HNK Cibalia (DNB)

Edge +5.9%Correct
Our model63.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model59.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model54.3%
The market53.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.88

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.9%
The market9.5%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.9%

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.