HNL badgeHNL · 16 August 2026AI PICK

HNK Gorica badgeHNK GoricavsHNK Hajduk Split badgeHNK Hajduk Split

1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
51.7%
Edge
+6.7 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +6.7%
Our model58.4%
The market51.7%

The market underrated this by 6.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

HNK Gorica badge

HNK Gorica

Attack33
Defence76
Form49
HNK Hajduk Split badge

HNK Hajduk Split

Attack58
Defence100
Form78

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market82.0%
Edge
-9.9
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

HNK Hajduk Split (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.7%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market51.7%
Edge
+6.7
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.2%
The market55.4%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

HNK Hajduk Split Win

Correct
Our model49.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.40

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.2% · actual

1-1

9.1%

1-3

7.1%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.