HNL badgeHNL · 16 May 2026AI PICK

HNK Gorica badgeHNK GoricavsNK Osijek badgeNK Osijek

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.6%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+15.1 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

HNK Gorica Win

Match Winner · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +15.1%
Our model61.6%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 15.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

HNK Gorica badge

HNK Gorica

Attack53
Defence48
Form42
NK Osijek badge

NK Osijek

Attack23
Defence55
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

HNK Gorica (DNB)

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

HNK Gorica Win

Edge +15.1%Correct
Our model61.6%
The market46.5%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
2.15

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model59.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.4%
The market55.9%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.79

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.6%Close
Our model20.0%
The market17.4%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.0%

2-0

13.8% · actual

0-0

10.6%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.