UEFA Europa Conference League · 23 July 2026AI PICK
HNK Rijekavs
Derry City
1 - 0Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 36.4%
- Edge
- +24.8 pts
- Best odds
- 2.75
The call, locked before kick-off
MissBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.75
The market underrated this by 24.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -26.0
- Odds
- 1.01
Draw No Bet
HNK Rijeka (DNB)
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +24.8
- Odds
- 2.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- -1.1
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
HNK Rijeka Win
- Edge
- -31.1
- Odds
- 1.17
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.