HNL badgeHNL · 23 May 2026AI PICK

HNK Rijeka badgeHNK RijekavsHNK Gorica badgeHNK Gorica

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.7%
Market said
55.9%
Edge
+0.8 pts
Best odds
1.79

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.79

MediumEdge +0.8%
Our model56.7%
The market55.9%

The market underrated this by 0.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

HNK Rijeka badge

HNK Rijeka

Attack38
Defence62
Form42
HNK Gorica badge

HNK Gorica

Attack58
Defence48
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.24

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model56.7%
The market55.9%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.79

Match Winner

HNK Rijeka Win

Correct
Our model50.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
-8.8
Odds
1.69

Draw No Bet

HNK Rijeka (DNB)

Correct
Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.7%
Our model13.0%
The market11.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
8.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.0%

1-1

10.4%

1-0

10.0%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.