1. Division badge1. Division · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Hobro badgeHobrovsAalborg badgeAalborg

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.4%
Market said
53.6%
Edge
+5.8 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +5.8%
Our model59.4%
The market53.6%

The market underrated this by 5.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hobro badge

Hobro

Attack44
Defence49
Form44
Aalborg badge

Aalborg

Attack57
Defence44
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model59.4%
The market53.6%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

Aalborg (DNB)

Edge +10.9%Miss
Our model57.0%
The market46.1%
Edge
+10.9
Odds
2.17

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market59.6%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Aalborg Win

Miss
Our model42.3%
The market43.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.30

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.9%
The market10.2%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.9%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

7.8% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.