1. Division badge1. Division · 14 May 2026AI PICK

Hobro badgeHobrovsAarhus Fremad badgeAarhus Fremad

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Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.5%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.01

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model60.5%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hobro badge

Hobro

Attack51
Defence74
Form53
Aarhus Fremad badge

Aarhus Fremad

Attack44
Defence69
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Close
Our model60.5%
The market49.8%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.01

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model58.1%
The market62.5%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.60

Draw No Bet

Hobro (DNB)

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hobro Win

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model46.2%
The market37.0%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.6%
Our model11.9%
The market10.3%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.67

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.9%

1-1

10.3%

0-1

9.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.