Tweede Divisie badgeTweede Divisie · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Hoek badgeHoekvsRijnsburgse Boys badgeRijnsburgse Boys

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.9%
Market said
73.5%
Edge
+5.4 pts
Best odds
1.36

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36

High confidenceEdge +5.4%
Our model78.9%
The market73.5%

The market underrated this by 5.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Hoek badge

Hoek

Attack57
Defence65
Form51
Rijnsburgse Boys badge

Rijnsburgse Boys

Attack67
Defence56
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.4%Close
Our model78.9%
The market73.5%
Edge
+5.4
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.9%Miss
Our model71.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+16.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Hoek Win

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model57.7%
The market46.5%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Hoek (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.