2. Bundesliga badge2. Bundesliga · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Holstein Kiel badgeHolstein Kielvs1. FC Nürnberg badge1. FC Nürnberg

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
37.0%
Edge
+22.7 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

1. FC Nürnberg Win

Match Winner · best price 2.70

MediumEdge +22.7%
Our model59.7%
The market37.0%

The market underrated this by 22.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Holstein Kiel badge

Holstein Kiel

Attack44
Defence54
Form44
1. FC Nürnberg badge

1. FC Nürnberg

Attack100
Defence80
Form92

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +14.8%Correct
Our model80.6%
The market65.8%
Edge
+14.8
Odds
1.52

Draw No Bet

1. FC Nürnberg (DNB)

Edge +28.4%Void
Our model75.6%
The market47.2%
Edge
+28.4
Odds
2.12

Match Winner

1. FC Nürnberg Win

Edge +22.7%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market37.0%
Edge
+22.7
Odds
2.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model58.6%
The market59.1%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model51.8%
The market63.5%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.