2. Bundesliga badge2. Bundesliga · 14 August 2026AI PICK

Holstein Kiel badgeHolstein KielvsFC St. Pauli badgeFC St. Pauli

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+1.3 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +1.3%
Our model58.4%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 1.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Holstein Kiel badge

Holstein Kiel

Attack49
Defence48
Form44
FC St. Pauli badge

FC St. Pauli

Attack69
Defence57
Form63

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model72.1%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.3%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

FC St. Pauli (DNB)

Void
Our model55.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.2%
The market69.0%
Edge
-14.8
Odds
1.45

Match Winner

FC St. Pauli Win

Edge +9.9%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market33.2%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
3.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.