Derde Divisie - Saturday badgeDerde Divisie - Saturday · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Hoogeveen badgeHoogeveenvsDVS 33 Ermelo badgeDVS 33 Ermelo

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.8%
Market said
63.7%
Edge
+7.1 pts
Best odds
1.57

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

High confidenceEdge +7.1%
Our model70.8%
The market63.7%

The market underrated this by 7.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Hoogeveen badge

Hoogeveen

Attack54
Defence39
Form53
DVS 33 Ermelo badge

DVS 33 Ermelo

Attack52
Defence63
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.7%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market83.3%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.20

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Close
Our model70.8%
The market63.7%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.0%Correct
Our model67.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+13.0
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Hoogeveen (DNB)

Void
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Hoogeveen Win

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model51.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.